[Policy Report No.95] Zheng Yongnian, Tao Xin and Xiao Chunwen: Forecast of the US Policy towards China in 2022 and Suggestions for Response
Authored on:2022-01-05
Keywords Machine Learning China’s foreign affairs China-US rivalry

Abstract

How to handle relations with the United States is a top priority for Chinese diplomacy. It is of great value to systematically sort out and predict the future strategy of the United States toward China. The United States generally goes through a process from strategy to policy proposals and then to legislation before implementing its policy towards China. To predict the risks in the US-China relationship in the following year, we have conducted a machine learning algorithmic analysis of public information and big data in these three stages to identify the priorities of the future policy of the US towards China at the levels of strategy, policy proposals, and legislation. Based on this, we predict and sort out the likely implementation timeline of US policy towards China in 2022 and give recommendations and principles to respond.

Research Questions

  • The direction of the U.S. policy towards China in 2022
  • How China will respond to the adjustment of the U.S. policy towards China